BIN Prediction, COVID-19 Case Reach 106,278 in July
Source: Media Indonesia
Date: 3 April 2020
Head of the COVID-19 Task Force for the Acceleration of Handling COVID, Doni Monardo, revealed that the number of coronavirus cases (COVID-19) is estimated to reach 106,278 in July. The projection is based on a review of the State Intelligence Agency (BIN).
"The estimated number of cases at the end of March is around 1,577 and this is accurate," said Doni in a meeting with the House of Representatives Commission IX, Thursday (2/4) evening.
Doni explained the results of the BIN study were accurate. The estimated accuracy of the number of cases is 99%.
In an earlier BIN study, there were an estimated 1,577 COVID-19 cases at the end of March. Then in the field, it showed 1,528 cases. The prediction from the results of the BIN study only has a difference of 49 cases.
For the COVID-19 case in April, BIN estimated that it would reach 27,307 people. The number of cases jumped dramatically at the end of May which is predicted to reach 95,451 people.
"Meanwhile, for the predictions at the end of June and the end of July, there will be an estimated 105,765 people and 106,287," Doni said.
Doni explained that there were 50 priority districts/cities out of 100 districts which had a high-risk level of around 49%. Among them are located in Java.
Approximately 10 provinces are predicted to lack health facilities. Starting from lack of medical personnel, isolation rooms, to personal protective equipment (PPE). The ten provinces are West Java, Yogyakarta, South Sumatra, Bali, East Kalimantan, North Sulawesi, Papua, Aceh, Southeast Sulawesi and Maluku.